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Loughrea NAP — Curragh 14:30 Horse Racing Tip, October 4

— the Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes, a Listed race over 7 furlongs on yielding to soft ground. He's a 4-year-old gelding trained by A. Slattery, ridden by Andrew Slattery, and goes off at 6/4.

Form and class. His form line reads 5---2-1-1-1 — three wins on the bounce following an earlier runner-up finish, a genuinely strong recent sequence. The Expert View calls it "cracking form" and notes he's already proven over today's trip. His official rating of 103 is a credible figure, though the card is direct about what that means in context: in our own figures, it ranks him only sixth of ten in this field — a reminder that a strong run of individual wins doesn't automatically translate into topping the ratings against this particular group.

Connections. This is a family operation — A. Slattery trains from Thurles, Co Tipperary, with Andrew Slattery riding, and the yard is in good form, striking at 22% over the last 14 days (7 winners from 32 runners).

The Honest Assessment. Three things are worth weighing honestly here. First, he's sixth of ten on rating — backing him means backing recent form and momentum over the raw figures, in a field where more than half the runners are rated above him. Second, he returns after a 36-day gap, which the Expert View calls "a gap" worth noting, following his third straight win. Third, he carries 133lb, described as "a sizeable burden." None of these are individually alarming, but together they represent a real set of questions stacked against a horse whose case otherwise rests heavily on recent momentum.

The Bottom Line. Three wins in a row is a genuine, meaningful signal, and it's exactly the kind of in-form sequence that can carry a horse past where the ratings alone would place it. But with the rating ranking him mid-pack, a 36-day absence, and a sizeable weight to carry, this isn't a clean, top-of-the-ratings case — it's a momentum play with real questions attached. We'd suggest a reduced stake and each-way rather than win-only, given how much of the case rests on recent form continuing rather than being backed up by the raw figures.

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