Yesterday's NAP Altareq finished third in the Carlisle Bell Handicap. Priapos, sent off at 12/1, won the race. Leadenhall, the 9/4 favourite, finished second. Altareq came home third at 13/2 on the day — beaten by the winner and a 40/1 outsider did not feature, but a 12/1 winner and a second that went off as market leader meant the race was taken by horses running at the extremes of the betting.
The each-way recommendation was the right call. Third in a fourteen-runner handicap pays out on the place part of the bet. Those who backed Altareq each-way at 5/1 collected on the place at 5/4. Not a win, but a return on the bet rather than a complete loss — which is precisely what each-way cover is for when a selection runs into the frame without winning.
The form case had been legitimate. Three placings from four starts, an excused York run, a top jockey booked. Priapos at 12/1 ran well above its market expectation. That is handicap racing — the field can be read correctly and still be beaten by a horse who outperforms its odds significantly on the day.
Today's Selection
Today's NAP is live now at horseracingoracleai.com — published at 11am as always, before the market moves. The same process, applied to Wednesday's card.
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