Today is Tuesday September 15, and yesterday's NAP delivered in style. National Honour won at Kempton, a £10 stake returning £28.80 in profit. The case published beforehand was upfront that no detailed rating comparison against the rest of the field was available, so the reasoning leaned on two things instead: a colt showing genuine improvement from a debut second into a win last time out, and Charlie Appleby's yard running at an exceptional 41% over the preceding fortnight — comfortably the strongest trainer form featured on any selection recently.
That's worth sitting with for a moment, because it's a different kind of case to some of the more heavily caveated NAPs featured this month. There was no significant concern to weigh against the positives here — no cold yard, no lengthy layoff, no rating gap working against the horse. When a case is genuinely clean like that, the honest thing to do is say so plainly rather than manufacture a caveat just to look appropriately cautious, and yesterday's result rewarded exactly that kind of straightforward, well-supported selection.
It's also a useful reminder of just how much a red-hot yard can matter. A trainer sending out winners at over 40% isn't just in decent form — that's an exceptional strike rate by any standard, and it was the single strongest signal behind yesterday's pick even without a rating to lean on.
Today's selection is built using the same process regardless of yesterday's result: trainer form over the last 14 days, the gap between Racing Post Rating and official rating where one exists, going suitability, and course and distance form specifically — stated honestly, whatever the underlying case turns out to be. Today's NAP is published at 11am, before the market moves.
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