Manaar sets the standard in today's EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes at Kempton on form alone. She won on debut at Newbury and was runner-up at the same venue when the form was reversed by Miss Scott — and the step up in trip today is unlikely to be an issue, with William Haggas having found her a suitable opportunity before potentially going up in class. At 2/5, she is today's NAP.
The Pedigree — Dubai Honour's Half-Sister
Manaar is a half-sister to the stable's four-times Group 1 winner Dubai Honour — a 370,000gns purchase at Tattersalls October Book 1 for Shadwell. Dubai Honour won at the highest level across multiple seasons for Haggas — a horse whose career earnings and Group 1 tally put him among the most successful horses the yard has produced. A half-sister from the same dam, purchased for over a third of a million guineas, arrives with exactly the kind of breeding profile that Haggas's team have identified as high-ceiling material.
By St Mark's Basilica — a sire whose progeny have shown consistent quality at middle distances — she has the breeding for today's mile and three-furlong trip on Kempton's Polytrack. The step up from her Newbury debut trip is assessed as not an issue, which suggests connections have seen the stamina in her work at home that the breeding implies.
Two Runs, Both Competitive
Her form reads 1-2. Won on debut at Newbury, second next time at the same track when the form was reversed by Miss Scott. Two runs, both at Newbury, both competitive at a high level for a three-year-old making her way in novice company. The second to Miss Scott at Newbury was a reversal of the first result — in two meetings with the same rival, they have won one each. Miss Scott ran in a Group 3 subsequently, which frames the quality of the form Manaar has already produced.
OR 88 in a Class 3 fillies' novice stakes at Kempton — the rating the handicapper has assigned after two quality runs against similarly well-bred rivals. She arrives at Kempton as the clear form standard.
William Haggas at 14% — Cieren Fallon
William Haggas's Somerville Lodge yard is at 14% over 14 days — 7 winners from 50 runners. A steady rate from one of the most respected operations in British Flat racing. Haggas's record with Shadwell fillies specifically is exceptional — Baaeed, Addeybb, and countless other Shadwell-bred horses have been developed through Newmarket to the highest level under his care. When Haggas places a Shadwell filly of this breeding in a Class 3 novice stakes at Kempton, it is a deliberate stepping-stone rather than a casual entry.
Cieren Fallon rides — an experienced jockey with a solid book of rides and a good record on Kempton's Polytrack. His booking continues the yard's association with quality riders for quality horses.
The Kempton Polytrack
Standard to slow Polytrack at Kempton over a mile and three furlongs and 219 yards — Manaar's first run on an artificial surface. Her two Newbury runs came on turf. The switch to Polytrack is the one variable that has not been tested, though for a well-bred filly from a yard with a strong all-weather record, the surface change is rarely a concern with horses of this profile.
The Bottom Line
Half-sister to Dubai Honour, 370,000gns purchase for Shadwell. Won debut at Newbury, second same venue — clear form standard in today's field. Step up in trip not an issue. William Haggas at 14%, placing her deliberately in a suitable opportunity before going up in class. Cieren Fallon riding. At 2/5, Manaar is today's NAP — back to win.
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