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Today's Horse Racing Tips: Leicester Best Bet February 24

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Leicester Best Bet February 24

When a horse wins over course and distance, comes back to the same track just 12 days later against only two rivals, and the handicapper has only raised her 4lb for the victory, the horse racing tips write themselves. Today's free racing tips focus on Leicester's Robert Parkin 70th Birthday Celebration Mares' Handicap Chase at 14:20 — a three-runner contest where our NAP of the day looks to have every angle in her favour and the opposition simply cannot match her on current form.

The Selection

Fay Ce Que Voudras is a ten-year-old mare trained by Kerry Lee and ridden by Tom Cannon. Priced at 1.80 at the time of writing in the Class 5 Mares' Handicap Chase over 2m4f on soft ground, she arrives here as the clear class act in a three-runner field. A Racing Post Rating of 110 and a Topspeed of 73 reflect a mare who knows her job thoroughly, and the expert view from the form book is unambiguous — she stuck on well to beat the market leader at this very course and distance last time, opening her chase account at the seventh attempt, and is "still well treated" even after a 4lb rise. That is as clear-cut a recommendation as the form book provides.

Form and Class

The form string of --6-4-5-F-1 tells a story of a mare who has been knocking on the door repeatedly over fences before finally getting her head in front. That winning run at Leicester over 2m6f on heavy ground just 12 days ago was not a fluke — she stuck on gamely to beat the market leader, with the pair drawing clear of the rest, and Tom Cannon gave her a patient, confident ride. Importantly, her best hurdles form sits at a higher level than her official chase mark of 84 suggests, meaning this handicap mark represents a genuine opportunity while she remains relatively lightly weighted in the chasing grade. The step back from 2m6f to 2m4f today is a minor trip adjustment, and soft ground at Leicester is exactly what she handled so well on her winning run.

The Connections

Kerry Lee operates a tight, well-organised yard in Byton, Herefordshire, and her 14-day strike rate of 29% — 2 wins from just 7 runners — shows the stable is in excellent current form. Tom Cannon, who partnered Fay Ce Que Voudras to her chase debut win last time, retains the ride and brings vital recent experience of how this mare settles and jumps at Leicester. When a jockey wins on a horse and immediately comes back to ride it again in the same type of race at the same course, it is always an encouraging signal. The combination is tight, confident and focused solely on following up.

Why Today

Three-runner races in horse racing are their own unique proposition — there is nowhere to hide and no crowded fields to navigate, which suits an experienced mare who jumps cleanly and travels well. The soft ground at Leicester today mirrors the conditions she excelled on last time, and returning to a course where she has already broken her chasing duck removes any concern about unfamiliarity. The handicapper's response of just 4lb for the win reflects how well she was still travelling at the finish — there was clearly more in the tank. The expert view from the form book specifically notes she "looks well treated, including on best hurdles form," which is the key long-term signal that this mare is still ahead of the assessor.

The Opposition

With only three runners, the opposition analysis is straightforward. Bobbi's Beauty, trained by M Keighley and ridden by Freddie Keighley, carries top weight of 12st and holds an official rating of 100 — significantly higher than Fay Ce Que Voudras's mark of 84, but the form of the two mares over the course of the season does not support the idea that Bobbi's Beauty is the superior performer on the day. Sawpit Samantha, at a morning price of 20/1, has form figures of 7835-0P and is clearly not expected to trouble the judge. In a three-runner race, the market's verdict — Fay Ce Que Voudras at 5/6 favourite in the morning line, here available at 1.80 — says everything that needs to be said.

The Bottom Line

This is the kind of horse racing bet today that rewards punters who follow the form diligently. A course and distance winner from 12 days ago, back at the same track in the same type of race with the same jockey, against just two rivals on ground she handles perfectly. Kerry Lee's yard is firing and the 4lb rise leaves her well treated. Fay Ce Que Voudras at Leicester at 1.80 is today's NAP of the day — win only, and back with the confidence that the angles could not be more clearly aligned.

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