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Today's Horse Racing Tips: Wincanton Best Bet March 23

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Wincanton Best Bet March 23

Back-to-back wins over fences in the space of a few weeks, both on soft ground, with the form book describing the Fontwell performance specifically as coming "under positive ride" off a 5lb lower mark by 4½ lengths. Now the seven-year-old returns to action on good ground — ground the expert view believes suits him even better than the soft he has already mastered. The field at Wincanton today has just three declared runners, the Racing Post's racecard verdict is "twice a winner on soft ground in recent weeks, SANITISER might be seen to even better effect on this quicker surface," and At The Races goes further: "He is improving rapidly over fences judged on smooth successes at Plumpton and Fontwell and there should be more to come." This is our NAP of the day at 15:47.

The Selection

Sanitiser is a seven-year-old gelding trained by Gary and Josh Moore at Lower Beeding in West Sussex, partnered by Tom Cannon in the Welcome Back To Racing Caroline Novices' Handicap Chase over 1m7f149y on good ground at Wincanton. He carries an OR of 104, RPR of 121, and TS of 109. His form figures read --4-4-3-1-1 — a patient build-up through hurdles placings followed by two consecutive chase wins that have confirmed rapid improvement over fences. The Moore yard is operating at 8% from 40 runners over the past 14 days — a modest rate in isolation but this is the yard's flag-bearer for the afternoon, returning to a Southern circuit track they know well with a horse in the form of his life.

Form and Class

The two recent wins frame the entire case. At Plumpton, Sanitiser landed a handicap chase on soft ground, with Tom Cannon riding — the same partnership that lines up today. That win earned him a 5lb rise in the weights, which he then defied at Fontwell over 2m2f on soft, winning by four and a half lengths under what the At The Races form note describes as a "positive ride" off the lower mark. Two wins in recent weeks, both over fences, both with authority. The expert view's summary of his current profile is precise: "not bred for fences but has collected small-field chase wins on soft ground at Plumpton and Fontwell." The "not bred for fences" qualifier is honest — he is by a Flat sire and his hurdling background shows — but the form book follows it immediately with "collected," which is exactly the right word. A horse collecting wins rather than scraping them.

The ground upgrade is the most interesting angle in the assessment, and both the expert view and the Racing Post agree on its implications. All of Sanitiser's chase wins have come on soft, but the At The Races form snapshot notes he has also "won a hurdle race from 2m to 2m2f on good and soft ground" — his ground range includes good, and the expert view suggests the step to a quicker surface "may be even better suited" to his style. A horse who has been winning on soft but whose overall range extends to good has every reason to maintain or improve on his recent level today. Good ground at Wincanton on a spring Monday is exactly the conditions that reward a front-running, pace-reliant horse who has been improving rapidly.

Why Today

Three runners. In a three-runner chase, every horse is a runner — there is no field depth to hide in, no tactical complexity, and no route to a quiet afternoon for a favourite. But the same logic applies to the other side: Sanitiser needs only to beat two rivals, one of whom fell last time and one of whom has yet to win under rules. The Moore yard and Tom Cannon partnership at a Southern track is the most natural racing combination in the field, with course and trainer familiarity adding to the horse-specific case.

The Opposition

Sage Green is the market's second choice at 13/8 and the most credible danger. The At The Races form note is honest about the risk: "fell when still going well in a handicap chase here latest; effective around 2m on soft and good; chance if fall hasn't knocked confidence." A horse who fell at Wincanton last time out is carrying genuine uncertainty about confidence over the fences — that caveat is not invented, and it is the reason Sanitiser's price is not shorter. If Sage Green jumps cleanly, this becomes a proper two-horse race. Park Talk at 6/1 is the each-way wildcard — an unexposed pointer who "travelled strongly" on his chase debut at Wetherby before finishing fourth, with the drop in trip on drier ground flagged as a positive by At The Races. He has yet to win under rules and needs a step forward, but the potential is noted and should not be entirely dismissed.

The Bottom Line

Won at Plumpton (2m1f, soft). Won at Fontwell (2m2f, soft) by 4½ lengths. Good ground today may suit even better per the expert view. Three-runner field. RPR 121 — highest in the race. Tom Cannon retained from both wins. Gary and Josh Moore placing confidently on their home circuit. Racing Post: "might be seen to even better effect on this quicker surface." At The Races top tip: Sanitiser. At 2.62, this is Monday's NAP — the hat-trick is there to be completed, and the ground upgrade makes today the most favourable conditions he has faced yet.

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