Minnie Hauk returns to the Curragh as one of last season’s standout middle-distance fillies, bringing top-level Group form into the 16:10. Her record at the highest level sets a clear standard in this field. Trotbot's highest-confidence selection for today is at 16:10.
The Selection
Minnie Hauk is a four-year-old filly trained by A P O’Brien at Ballydoyle, ridden by Ryan Moore in the Clem Murphy Memorial Irish EBF Mooresbridge Stakes (Group 2) over 1m2f on good ground at the Curragh. Form reads 1-1-1-2-6. OR 123. Last ran 184 days ago.
Last Season — Elite Middle-Distance Form
Minnie Hauk was last season’s leading middle-distance three-year-old filly.
She won the Cheshire Oaks before going on to land Classic-level races at Epsom and the Curragh, then added the Yorkshire Oaks to confirm her standing at the top of her division.
Her run in the Arc, where she was touched off by Daryz on soft ground and finished well clear of the remainder, represents form that is well above Group 2 level.
That is the standout piece of form in this race.
Breeders' Cup Run — Forgivable End to Season
Her final start of the campaign came in the Breeders’ Cup Turf, where she finished sixth.
That run came at the end of a long and demanding season. It is reasonable to view it as one race too many rather than a drop in ability.
Her peak form prior to that effort remains the key reference point.
Return After 184 Days
She returns here after 184 days off the track.
That absence introduces an element of uncertainty, but it is a familiar pattern for this yard. Aidan O’Brien routinely brings horses back from breaks ready to perform at Group level.
Fitness is a consideration, but not a major concern given the stable’s record.
Aidan O’Brien — 30% Strike Rate
The yard is operating at a 30% strike rate over the past 14 days.
That is an elite level of form. When Ballydoyle runners return in Group races with this level of recent stable performance, they are typically fully primed.
This is not a stable easing horses back quietly.
Ryan Moore
Ryan Moore takes the ride.
This is the stable’s number one jockey and the default choice in top-level races. His booking confirms the status of the filly within the yard’s runners.
At the Curragh, Moore’s positioning and race management are consistently a major asset.
The Trip — 1m2f Slight Question
The race is run over 1m2f.
Most of Minnie Hauk’s best form has come over further, and the drop back in trip introduces a minor question. The pace of a Group 2 over this distance may be sharper than ideal.
However, she did win over 1m earlier in her career, which suggests she has enough tactical speed to cope.
This is not a major negative, but it is a factor.
The Going
Good ground at the Curragh.
She has already shown high-level form on a range of surfaces, including soft when running in the Arc. Today’s conditions present no issue.
There is no going concern.
The Main Danger
The main danger is likely to come from a rival with a stronger recent run and match fitness.
In early-season Group races, race sharpness can be decisive. A fully fit opponent with a recent run could apply pressure if Minnie Hauk is not fully tuned on return.
The Bottom Line
Last season’s leading middle-distance filly. Wins at Epsom, the Curragh and York. Arc form well above this level. Aidan O’Brien operating at 30%. Ryan Moore booked.
Sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Turf after a long campaign is forgivable. Return after 184 days is the key question. Drop to 1m2f is a minor concern.
But on peak form, she sets the standard in this race.
At 2/7, this is Trotbot's highest-confidence selection for today.
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Facts verified via search on May 4, 2026.